First, I like the over 9 (-110) runs in the Houston Astros vs New York Mets game. The Mets start Livan Hernandez. For the year his ERA is 4.93 and a .305 batting average against. On the road his ERA is 5.04. In July his ERA is 10.93 and his batting average against is .413 In 14 innings this month he has allowed 26 hits and 10 walks with only 7 strikeouts. In the last 3 years, his ERA against Houston is 7.11 and his batting average against is .391. At Minute Maid over the past 3 years his ERA is 10.80 and his batting average against is .451.
The Astros start Brian Moehler. His ERA on the year is 4.92, and a .288 batting average against. At home his ERA is 5.09 and his batting average against is .309. Over the past 3 years he is 0-3 against the Mets with a 6.40 ERA and a .302 batting average against. He has good numbers for July (3-1 with a 2.16 ERA and a .215 baa) but look who he played against, the bottom feeders of the NL.
My second play is the Philadelphia Phillies -150 vs the St Louis Cardinals.
Joe Blanton goes for the Phils. He is 6-4 with a 4.24 ERA and a .265 batting average against. He is 1-0 against the Cards this year with a 1.50 ERA and a .174 batting average against. He is 2-0 for the month, with a 0.83 ERA and a .176 batting average against. In 21.2 innings this month, he allowed only 13 hits and 4 walks, with 16 strikeouts.
The Cardinals go with Todd Wellemeyer. For the year he is 7-8 with a 5.68 ERA and a .320 batting average against. On the road his ERA is 6.14 and his batting average against is .350. In July he is 1-1 with an ERA of 5.63 and a batting average against of .338. Over the past 3 years he is 0-1 against the Phils with a 7.30 ERA.
Also adding Tampa Bay (-107), Los Angeles Angels (-145) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (-133).
Have a great Day!
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