Manic Monday Plays

First I like the red-hot Yankees, 9-1 last 10 and a team batting average of .275 over the past 7 days, (-108) to the slumping Rays who are batting an AL-worst .202 over the past 7 days. The Yankees go with AJ Burnett. He is 9-4 on the year with a 3.74 ERA and a .241 batting average against. On the road this year, his batting average against is .231. His ERA in July is 3.08. Against the Rays this year he is 1-0 with a 3.21 ERA and a .188 batting average against. For his career against the Rays his ERA is 3.01. At Tropicana this year he is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA and a .120 batting average against. From 2006-2008 he was 1-1 at the Trop with a 2.05 ERA and a .164 batting average against.

Meanwhile, the Rays go with James Shields. He is 6-6 on the year with a 3.70 ERA and a .273 batting average against. At home this year his batting average is also .273. In July his ERA is 4.68. He hasn't faced the Yankees this year but he must be having nightmares. For his career against them (all from 2006-2008) he is 1-6 against the Yankees with a 5.73 ERA and a .302 batting average against.

Lay the -108 with the Yankees.

My second play is taking a chance with a good pitcher and a good team getting a good price. I like the Dodgers +158 versus the Cardinals tonight. The Dodgers are batting a solid .288 over the past 7 days. The Cardinals struggle against lefties (batting .228 against them, 2nd worst in the NL). Wolf is pitching well now, going 2-1 in July with a 2.81 ERA and a .208 batting average against. On the road for the entire season, his ERA is 2.90 and his batting average against is .229. Carpenter's numbers this year are awesome but I notice that his batting average against in July is .255 as compared to his season batting average against of .209.

I like the Dodgers at +158 tonight.

More picks available at http://www.youcapper.com/user/Profit.htm