The Twins start right handed pitcher, Nick Blackburn who is 8-4 on the year with a 3.44 ERA. Those are decent stats but his WHIP is 1.333 and his batting average against is .277. On the road this year he is 3-4 with a 4.06 ERA and a .287 batting average against. In his last 5 starts, he has allowed 50 hits in only 35 innings. For the month of July he is 2-0, but with a 5.14 ERA, a .319 batting average against, and a WHIP of 1.476. Against the Angels this year, his ERA is 5.68 and his batting average against is .308. For his entire career he is 0-2 against the Angels with a 4.00 ERA. BUT, for his career at Angels Stadium, his ERA is 5.79, his batting average against is .455 and his WHIP is 2.857.
The Angels start righty Matt Palmer. He is 7-1 on the year, but with a 4.75 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. As a starter his ERA jumps to 5.10 and his batting average against is .263. During the day his ERA jumps to 5.55 and his batting average against is .287. This is a pitcher whose CAREER numbers show more than 1 hit allowed per inning pitched (91 hits in 90.1 innings). He is fortunate to be 7-1.
More trends: the Angels are 15-4 to the over in July. Against righties, the Angels bat an AL-best .290. Over the past 7 days, the Angels are batting an AL-best .310. These 2 teams are 4-1-1 to the over this year. In the past 3 years at Angels Stadium, the over is 7-4-1. The Twins are 7-4-1 to the over when playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season.
All signs point to the Over 9.5 (-115).
Also adding the Los Angeles Angels to win (-118), New York Yankees -1.5 (-140) and Chicago Cubs (-126).
Have a great day!
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