Friday, April 30, 2010

Friday Night MLB Pick

Record 10-11 (-261)

Taking the Toronto Blue Jays (-127)

The Jays start Brandon Morrow. On the year his numbers seem lousy. 1-2 with a 6.14 ERA. So why do I like Jays ? Let's look deeper at Morrow. His ERA is high, but he does have 24 strikeouts in 22 innings, and a .234 BAA. He does walk alot of guys, but the A's are not a particularly patient team at the plate. In his last 2 starts, Morrow went 13 innings, allowing only 6 hits with 16 strikeouts. Last year against the A's he was awesome. In 11 innings pitched against the A's, he allowed only 2 hits with 13 strikeouts, and a BAA of only .054. For his entire career against the A's he is 2-0 with a 4.13 ERA, but with 38 strikeouts in 32.2 innings, and a BAA of .176. Morrow is a better pitcher than his season numbers show, and he will shine tonight.

Meanwhile the A's go with Trevor Cahill, who was called up from Triple A Sacramento to make the start. He has only pitched 8.2 innings in the minors this season (he had a lousy spring, with a 5.95 ERA which got him a ticket to the minors), allowing 7 hits and 5 walks. In 2009 he was 10-13 with a 4.63 ERA, a 1.442 WHIP and a .270 BAA. On the road last year (which is his entire career), he was 3-6 with a 5.10 ERA. For his career against the Jays he is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA, a 2.156 WHIP and a .310 BAA.

The public will see Cahill's 0.00 ERA and Morrow's 6.14 ERA and they will play the A's. But as you can see, those numbers are deceptive. The A's, who have lost 3 in a row and who are 3-6 on the road this year, will get thumped by the Jays tonight.

Receive 4 bags (2 lbs) of Fresh Roasted Gourmet Coffee for only $9.95 + FREE Shipping - Shop Now at BocaJava.com

Thursday, April 29, 2010

Thursday MLB Total

Record is 10-10 (-159)

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers OVER 9.5 -102.

Carl Pavano has been a nice surprise for the Twins, his only foible on the year was during a daytime start. He has an ERA of 7.71 during the day and a .340 OBP and last night these Tigers pumped out 11 runs and seem to have their bats coming around up and down this lineup. That being said, Minnesota pumped out 6 runs in the loss but has been the more consistent batting team all year long and should get some good looks at Willis who hasn't been good at home with a 7.20 ERA and a daytime of ERA of 6.00 with a really bad OBP of .444. He gave up 8 hits and 4 runs and 2 walks to the Twins in a previous start this year, lasting ONLY 4.2 innings and now Minnesota gets another shot at him today. Even with players sitting, this game staying under the number is in tough today.

Good Luck!

David's Cookies Mother's Day 2010 -300x250

Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Tuesday Baseball Play

Our play got rained out yesterday, so we remain with a Record of 10-9 (+003).

Today, grab the New York Yankees (-162).
The Orioles are 3-16 on the season and the New York Yankees are getting excellent results from Phil Hughes.

After flirting with a no-hitter his last time out, Hughes returns to the mound Tuesday night with the Yankees hoping to keep the Baltimore Orioles winless at home.

Hughes (2-0, 2.19 ERA) did not make his 2010 debut until April 15 since New York (12-6) did not need a fifth starter to that point. He turned in a solid five-inning effort to beat the Angels that night and was simply brilliant in his next outing.

This one shouldn't be close.

Good Luck!

Monday, April 26, 2010

Blue Monday Pick

Record 10-9 (+003)

Still plan on riding the Mets' good play of late. They're 7-3 in their last 10 and have won 4 in a row.

Perez is 3-1 with a 2.84 ERA in four starts against the Dodgers. He engineered the Mets' only win in six meetings against them last year, allowing two runs and four hits with seven walks in five innings of a 5-4 victory on July 8 at Citi Field.

Today's pick is the NY Mets (+121)

Good Luck!

Mother's Day Gifts from Chocolate.com

Sunday, April 25, 2010

Sunday Gravy Play

Now 9-9 (-102) on the season.

Tonight, I like the Mets to continue their winning ways (+105).

New York's pitchers have allowed two or fewer runs five times in the Mets' last six games. The club has a 2.09 ERA over its last eight contests.

In their last 4 games, the Braves (8-9) have totaled six runs, batting .209 overall and .129 with men in scoring position.

I like New York to sweep the series tonight.

Good Luck!

Friday, April 23, 2010

Friday MLB Pick

Record 9-8 (+018)

Today we look at 2 under achieving teams, we like the over 8.5 (-120) in the Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox.

The Red Sox have won 23 of 26 meetings with the Orioles behind a .336 batting average. They've taken 13 of 14 at Fenway Park in that span, while their overall winning streak has reached eight games.

Good Luck!

Thursday, April 22, 2010

Thursday Bases

Record is 8-8 (-082)

Today, I see value in taking the Tampa Bay Rays (+100).

With a win Thursday, the Rays would set a team high for victories during a single road trip. They went 8-1 in June 2004.

Chicago, meanwhile, has lost five of six to fall into last in the AL Central. The White Sox finished with four hits Wednesday, and are batting .198 at home.

Good Luck!

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Hump-day Bases

Record 7-8 (-182)

Today's pick features Roy Halladay and the Phillies. The right-hander, who has a major league-best 19 complete games since the start of the 2008 season, is looking to open with four straight wins for the first time in his 13-year career.

Halladay gave up two runs over 16 innings in victories over Washington and Houston before his home debut against Florida on Friday. He yielded two runs in eight innings and the Phillies held on to win 8-6.

Taking the Phillies at (-141).

Good Luck!


Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Tuesday Baseball Play

Record 7-7 (-082)

Today we like the visiting St. Louis Cardinals to handle the Arizona Diamondbacks.
St. Louis is 9-4 on the season and Kyle Lohse is 2-1 with a 3.46 ERA in six starts versus the Diamondbacks. Arizona is 3-7 in their last 10 and have lost their last 5. Like the value tonight taking St. Louis at (+129).

Good Luck!

Monday, April 19, 2010

Monday Bases, early game!

Record 6-7 (-241)

Tampa Bay has won their last 6, while Boston has lost their last 4, there is value in taking Tampa at (+159), so that's our pick for the day.

Good Luck!

Saturday, April 17, 2010

Saturday Bases

Now 6-6 (-133) on the season.

The Philadelphia Phillies are off to their best start in 17 years, and are now 3-1 at home. Moyer is 13-4 with a 2.93 ERA in 17 starts against the Marlins, and if he gets the same type of run support that he did in his last outing, he will win again. Today's pick is the Phillies (-108).

Good Luck!

Friday, April 16, 2010

Friday MLB Pick

Back on track as our Over came in. Now 5-6 (-233) on the season.

Today we like the Philadelphia Phillies with Halladay to handle the Florida Marlins with ease. Phillies -1.5 (-120).

Good Luck!

Thursday, April 15, 2010

Thursday MLB Total

Record 4-6 (-333)

Can't catch a break of late, as the St. Louis Cards only beat Houston by 1 last night. Today we see value in the Over 9½ -120 for the game between the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies this afternoon.

Good Luck

David's Cookies - Can one desire too much of a good thing?

Wednesday, April 14, 2010

Hump-day Baseball Pick

Season Record is now 4-5 (-223).

Missed the last 3 picks by a c-hair. Looking to turn things around today with the St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-110) vs the Houston Astros.

Good Luck.

Receive 50% off coffee on 4/15/10 - Tax Day Deal - Shop Now at BocaJava.com

Tuesday, April 13, 2010

Tuesday Baseball Play

Record is now 4-4 (-108)

The Jays almost gave us the win, only to lose in extra innings. Today we like the Over 8 (-115) in the Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays game.

Good Luck!

Monday, April 12, 2010

Monday Home Opener

Record 4-3 (-008)

Going with Toronto in their home opener after going 5-1 on the road. Toronto +113.

Good Luck All!

Sunday, April 11, 2010

Sunday Bases

Record 4-2 (+137)

Carpenter will try to add to his 17-inning scoreless streak in Milwaukee and help the Cardinals to their seventh consecutive road win over the Brewers.

Milwaukee has dropped nine of 10 at home to the Cardinals. The Brewers have been outscored 12-5 in the first two games of this series and have batted .177.

Taking St. Louis (-145)

Good Luck All!

Saturday, April 10, 2010

Saturday Early Game Total!

Record 4-1 (+257)

Going right back to the well today, as I was very surprised to see this total set at only 8.5.

The Nationals have given up 32 runs in 4 games, meaning an average on 8 per game. The Nationals will hand the ball to John Lannan (0-1, 12.27 ERA), who looks to bounce back after lasting only 3 2/3 innings against the Phillies on Monday. Lannan gave up five runs and seven hits in the 11-1 loss, with eight of the 10 batters he faced in the fourth inning reaching base.

The left-hander is 3-4 with a 3.62 ERA in 10 career starts against the Mets, including 0-3 with a 6.00 ERA in five starts in New York.

For the Mets, Oliver Perez went 0-1 in five spring training starts and one relief appearance, posting an 8.68 ERA while walking 10 in 18 2/3 innings.
He lost both outings to the Nationals last season, giving up 11 runs and walking nine in 10 1/3 innings. Overall, he is 3-5 with a 7.14 ERA against them.

How can this game not go Over 8.5 (-120) this afternoon?

Good Luck All!


Friday, April 9, 2010

Friday MLB Pick

Record 3-1 (+157)

Today I like the match-up between the Washington Nationals and New York Mets.

Mike Pelfrey didn't provide much confidence during six starts in spring training, going 0-4 with a 6.15 ERA while getting dropped to fourth in the rotation. Pelfrey, though, is 3-5 with a 3.93 ERA in 12 starts against Washington (1-2), including an 0-2 mark and a 4.29 ERA in the last three.

The Nats will give the ball to Mock, who went 3-10 with a 5.62 ERA in 28 games , 15 starts last season.The right-hander didn't fare much better in five starts during spring training, going 0-4 with a 5.79 ERA.

Taking Washington-NY Mets Over 9 (-105)

Good Luck!


Thursday, April 8, 2010

Now 3-0 for the season.

After pounding out 13 hits in an 11-1 season-opening victory Monday, Philadelphia tagged Nationals pitchers for 11 more hits in Wednesday's 8-4 win.

The Phillies are 2-0 for the first time in seven seasons and have won 14 of 15 against Washington. Phillies will sweep this afternoon, paying (-143).


Wednesday, April 7, 2010

Hump-day Baseball Pick

Now 2-0 in MLB regular season picks. Here's a good Wednesday night play, taking the Philadelphia Phillies (-160).

Hamels is making his 2010 debut in a favorable place. He allowed one run in his last 26 innings at Washington and went 5-1 with a 1.34 ERA in his last nine starts against the Nationals.

Good Luck!

Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Tuesday Night Baseball

Well, the Braves did not disappoint yesterday, and for tonight's game between the Yankees and RedSox we see another high scoring match. Grab the Over 9.5 (-115)tonight!

Good Luck!

Monday, April 5, 2010

Opening Day Play

To start off the 2010 Baseball season, we like the Atlanta Braves (-127) at home versus the Chicago Cubs.

Good Luck!

Sunday, April 4, 2010

Sunday NBA Total

Both the San Antonio Spurs and Los Angeles Lakers have gone over in 3 of their last 5 games, Lakers' games at home have a tendancy to be high scoring affairs, we're on the Over 193 (-110) for this afternoon's game.

CheapOstay - Memorial Day Banner 300x250

Saturday, April 3, 2010

Saturday Hockey Pick

Let's keep rolling with a Saturday afternoon pick. Today we like the Ottawa Senators to keep up their winning ways against the New York Islanders. Ottawa -130.

Good Luck!

Fanzz_MLB_250x250.jpg