The Reds start rookie Mike Leake. He is 5-0 on the year with a 2.68 ERA. Very nice numbers. In his last 4 outings though, he allowed 35 hits and 8 walks in 24.2 innings. For the month of June he is 1-0 with a 3.97 ERA, but his BAA is .367. In 11.1 innings this month, he allowed 18 hits and 4 walks. Against the Dodgers this year he is 1-0, but with a 6.43 ERA and a .286 BAA. After Leake is gone, we get to see the Reds bullpen with its home ERA of 5.03.
Meanwhile, the Dodgers start lefty Clayton Kershaw. He is 6-3 on the year with a 3.13 ERA and a .202 BAA. He is 5th in the NL in strikeouts. He happens to be first in the NL in walks with 44. That's good, because the Reds are a fairly patient team at the plate (they are 11th in MLB in walks this year). For the month of June he is 1-0 but with a 3.95 ERA.
The Reds bat an MLB-best .287 against lefties. The Dodgers are a solid .274 against righties. Over the past 7 days, the Dodgers are batting .280, while the Reds are batting .299.
These teams have met 4 times this year (including last night), all 4 have gone over the total. The Dodgers are 4-1 to the over in their last 5, while the Reds have gone over the total in 6 straight games. Check this one out. When the total is set between 8 and 8.5, the Dodgers are 5-1 to the over on the road, while the Reds are 14-5 to the over at home.
Taking the Over 8 (-120) today.
Good Luck!
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