Saturday, June 19, 2010

Saturday Baseball Pick!

For Saturday, I like the Colorado Rockies (-120) to the Brewers.

The Rockies start lefty Jeff Francis. He is 2-2 on the year with a 3.29 ERA. At home this year his ERA is 3.42 and his BAA is .247. While the Brewers bat a decent .265 against lefties, lately they can't hit their way out of a paper bag, batting only .225 over the past 7 days. For the entire month of June, they are batting only .227 (2nd worst in all of baseball). Francis should hold his own against the weak Brewers team, and then the Rockies bullpen with its solid 3.15 home ERA will take over.

Meanwhile, the Brewers start Yovani Gallardo. He is 6-3 on the year with a 2.66 ERA and a .223 BAA. but he is 2nd in the NL in walks with 43. That works for us here, as the Rockies have the 5th most walks in the NL this season. Against the Rockies this year he is 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA and a .269 BAA. For his career against the Rockies he is 0-3 with a 7.45 ERA. He has made only 1 start in his career at Coors Field where in 2.2 innings pitched at Coors, he allowed 12 hits and 3 walks, for an ERA of 37.13 and a BAA of .632 . The Rockies bat a solid .283 at home, and after they get to Gallardo, we'll see the Brewers bullpen with its ERA of 5.62. The 7 times these two teams have met at Coors Field over the past 3 years, and including last night, the Rockies are 6-1.

Good Luck!

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