Monday, June 28, 2010

Monday evening Baseball Pick June 28th

For Monday, I like the over 9.5 (-105)in the Phillies vs Reds game.

The Phillies start right hander Kyle Kendrick. The Reds bat an NL-best .274 against right handed pitching. Kendrick is 4-2 with a 4.71 ERA and a .270 BAA. Kendrick is 3-0 for his career against the Reds, but that is with a 6.61 ERA and a .297 BAA. In his one career start at Great American he got the win, but with a 7.20 ERA and a .381 BAA. The Reds, who bat an NL-best .287 at home, will get to Kendrick tonight.

Meanwhile, the Reds start Johnny Cueto. He is 7-2 on the year with a 3.97 ERA and a .256 BAA. At home this year he is 3-1 but with a 4.19 ERA and a .265 BAA. For the month of June he is 2-1 but with a 5.46 ERA and a .303 BAA. For his career against the Phillies he is 0-2 with a ERA of 15.26 and a .353 BAA. Over the past 7 days the Phils are batting a very nice .289. After they get to Cueto, we'll see the Reds bullpen with its 4.98 ERA.

The Reds are 24-14 to the over at home this year, while the Phils have gone over the total in 4 of their last 5.

Good Luck!

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