Friday, June 25, 2010

Friday Night MLB Pick

For Friday, I like the over 9.5 runs (-115) in the Indians vs Reds game.

The Tribe start Aaron Laffey. He is only 0-1 with a 5.61 ERA and a .294 BAA. In 25.2 innings, he has allowed 30 hits and 13 walks with only 11 strikeouts. On the road this year his ERA is 6.92 and his BAA is .286. Against the Reds this year he is 0-1 with an 18.00 ERA and a .400 BAA. Against the Reds from 2007-2009 he was 0-2 with a 9.95 ERA and a .370 BAA. At Great American for his career he is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA. His career record against Cincy is 0-3 with an 11.05 ERA. The Reds, who bat .272 against lefties will get to Laffey tonight, and after that, they'll crush the Indians bullpen with its 5.64 road ERA.

Meanwhile, the Reds go with Aaron Harang. For the year he is 5-7 with a 5.17 ERA and a .294 BAA. At home his ERA is 4.91 and his BAA is .271. For the month of June he is 1-2 with a 4.22 ERA, but in 21.1 innings this month, he has allowed 30 men on base. At night this year his ERA is 5.76 and his BAA is .318. To put that into perspective, his BAA in day games this year is only .221. He is 3-2 for his career against the Tribe, but from 2007-2009 he was 0-2 against them with a 4.18 ERA and a .306 BAA. After we get done with Harang, we'll see the Reds bullpen with its 5.23 ERA.

Good Luck!

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