Wednesday Baseball Pick

For Wednesday, I like the Chicago Cubs -140 vs the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Pirates start lefty Zach Duke. He is 3-5 on the year with a 5.09 ERA and a .322 BAA. At home this year he is 1-2 with a 3.57 ERA, but a BAA of .313. For the month of May he went 35.2 innings, allowing 52 hits and 9 walks. Against the Cubs last year he was 0-3 with a 5.68 ERA and a .333 BAA. He is 4-8 for his entire career against the Cubs, since 2007 he is 0-7 against them with a 5.24 ERA and a .336 BAA.

Meanwhile, the Cubs start Carlos Zambrano. Over his last 5 appearances, he went a total of 4.1 innings. In those 4.1 innings he allowed 0 earned runs, with only 1 hit and 1 walk. The Pirates bat a lousy .232 against righties this year (2nd worst in the NL), and I think they are going to faced a humbled Zambrano tonight as he makes his return to the rotation.

Good Luck!