Saturday, December 26, 2009

Sunday Gravy Plays Dec 27th

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots OVER 43.5 -105. Jacksonville is a +8 or +9 dog on Sunday and everyone is grabbing these points on the road team. I was a bit surprised at this number in the fact that New England hasn't been the old dominant team this year, a shell of that team actually, so why the heavy favorite against a team with playoffs hopes still in the offing? New England at home has been scoring and scoring big regularly this year, disposing of most opponents by 10 points or more. In fact they have averaged 30 points per at home this year and Jacksonville isn't the greatest road team. Do I like them to show up on Sunday? Yes, but it will be by offense that keeps them in this game and New England will certainly get their points against this pedestrian defense that allows 25 points per game on the road. Jacksonville rang up 31 points on Indy at home and has had 10 days to prepare for this game. New England's defense isn't a staunch unit either and I don't see a lot of punts nor stops in this game and with the offensive talent in this game, some quick scores are in play as well. Take the Over.

Adding:
Indianapolis -5.5
Car-NYG Over 42.5
Den-Phi Over 41.5

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