These two teams have been going over all year long, but the last two have went under the number by half a run but that will end as the trend of overs continues tonight. The OVER is 11-4-1 in the last 15 meetings and has gone over in 21 of Florida's last 27 games as a favorite. Sanchez had a good outing vs Washington last week, but with the Nationals seeing him twice in such a short span, it is to their advantage. Sanchez does throw a lot of pitches and walks guys at a high enough rate that it puts himself in situations where he rarely gets past the 5th inning. Florida's bullpen has an ERA of 7.53 and a group Washington has had success against.
Washington is hitting .282 vs lefties their last 10 and should get some runs tonight vs Sanchez. However, it probably won't be enough as the hot Marlins lost last night and that won't sit well with this team that is hitting .290 vs righties their last 10. They face a virtual unknown in Estrada who is a journeymen minor leaguer with a career ERA of 7.82. Florida should get to him quite easily being as hungry and hot as they are then they too get to feast on a Washington bullpen with a 6.10 ERA. Florida has averaged 6.7 runs per game their last 10 and if they continue that tonight, we should get our over.
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