Tonight, I like the St Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+125) vs the Cincinnati Reds. The listed pitchers are Johnny Cueto and Kyle Lohse. Lohse hasn't been great this year, and lately he has been awful, but those were road performances. At home he has a strong ERA of 2.98 and a winning record, and if he's close to that kind of performance in his home park tonight, this game should be a runaway for the Cardinals since the Reds are hitting only .215 in the last 7 days.
Cueto has been horrible both home or away since the All Star break. He is 0-5 in his last 6 with a 9.85 ERA and an 8.44 ERA in his last 3. Since the All Star break the opposition is crushing him with a .365 batting average. He has two good starts vs St Louis this year, but much earlier in the year. Cueto has to face a St Louis team hitting just under .300 the past 7 days and Pujols, who is on a .550 tear with 8 RBIs his last 5 games, and Holliday, who is hitting .466 since joining the Cards.
Also adding the Los Angeles Angles (+118), San Francisco Giants (+105) and New York Yankees (-141).
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