Tuesday, August 18, 2009

3 Tuesday Plays for August 18th

1-0 to start the week, let's get to today's picks.

I like the Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 9 (-115).
These two teams simply put up runs when they meet. They have played 9 times this year and have gone OVER the number in 7 of them. Now Ohlendorf has been strong at home this year, but Milwaukee has been hitting much better of late, including the long ball, but they also have been giving up runs by the ton as well. Last night Pittsburgh won 9-5 and tonight this number is also beatable. When Parra starts on the road for Milwaukee, you can almost guarantee high scoring games. They are 9-2 OVER in his 11 road starts and he has a 7.18 ERA on the road. These two teams have combined to go OVER the total 13-4-3 in their last 20 games combined and I look for another OVER tonight.

Florida Marlins vs Houston Astros OVER 9 (-105).
Florida is batting .327 for the month of August, and while that is impressive, it's not as impressive as getting 10 or more hits in each of their last 13 games. They are averaging 7.2 runs per game their last 10 and have went OVER the total in 11 straight game. Now they head into Houston where it's known as a hitter's park and Houston has been doing their own damage of late as well. They have gone OVER the number in 7 of their last 9 games and when these two teams met just over a week ago for a 4 game series in Florida, the totals were: 11/20/17 and 14. The 20 runs were scored with the exact same pitchers as we have tonight.

Also added the Los Angeles Angels (-104)

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