Friday, July 10, 2009

Another total for Friday

Now 3-0-1 for the week.

For Friday I like the over 9 runs in the Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies game.

The Braves start Derek Lowe. Two months ago he looked like a brilliant free agent signing, but now, he is 7-7 on the year with a 4.56 ERA and a .280 batting average against. In his last 3 outings, he went only 14.1 innings, allowing 28 hits and 7 walks, for an ERA of 7.71 and on the road this year his ERA is 5.03 and his batting average against is .283. For his career against the Rocks he is 7-7 with a 4.50 ERA. He hasn't pitched at Coors this year, but from 2006-2008, he pitched 30.1 innings at Coors. His record there is 1-4, his ERA there is 8.01 and his batting average against there is .374. In his 30.1 innings at Coors, he has allowed 49 hits and 15 walks. It's safe to say that Coors Field is not Derek Lowe's favorite place.

Meanwhile, the Rockies start Ubaldo Jiminez. He is 6-8 with a 3.86 ERA and a .246 batting average against. He is 8th in walks in the NL with 45. At home his ERA is 4.05 and his batting average against jumps to .263. In his last 3 starts, he has allowed 16 hits and 7 walks in 20.1 innings for a 4.50 ERA. For his career against the Braves he is 1-2 with a 5.66 ERA.

The Braves are batting a solid .280 over the past 7 days, while the Rocks are not that far behind at .270. The over 9 is already at -125, so I fully expect it to climb to 9.5. It won't matter.

Friday's play is over 9 (-125) in the Braves vs Rockies game.

More picks available later this morning at http://www.youcapper.com/user/Profit.htm


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