First, I like the over 10 runs in the Rays/White Sox. Here's why:
Both teams are hitting very well right now. The Rays are batting .306 over the past 7 days (2nd in the AL), while the Sox are 3rd in the AL at .289. Guess which team has scored the most runs in the AL this year against lefties. If you said the Rays you would be right (164). Conveniently, the White Sox are starting a lefty tonight. Clayton Richard is 3-3 on the year but with a 5.42 ERA, a .296 batting average against. At home this year his ERA is 6.83 and his batting average against is .307. For the month of July, he has an ERA of 19.29, and a batting average against of .500
Meanwhile the Rays go with Jeff Niemann. He is 8-4 with a 3.73 ERA and a .261 batting average against. In July his ERA is only 2.25 but his batting average against is .271. On the road this year his ERA is 4.08. He is 0-1 against the Sox this year with a .346 batting average against. For his career he is 0-2 against the Sox with a 6.75 ERA
Second, I like the Astros -139 to beat the Cardinals. The Astros start lefty Wandy Rodriguez. The Cards are horrible against lefties, batting only .226 against them. Wandy is 9-6 on the year with a 2.81 ERA (7th in the NL)and a .249 batting average against. He is 8th in the NL in strikeouts with 112. At home this year he is 4-2 with a 2.21 ERA and a .222 batting average against. This month he is 3-0 with a 0.41 ERA and a .218 batting average against.
The Cardinals go with Todd Wellemeyer. He is 7-7 on the year with a 5.56 ERA and a .319 batting average against. He is 10th in the NL in walks with 47. For the month of July he is 1-0 with a 4.63 ERA and his batting average against is .333. On the road this year his ERA is 5.90 and his batting average against is .350.
Third, I'll keep riding the Phillies train, as they are 9-1 in their last 10. To get them at (-129) is a value play right now.
Today's 3 plays are Tampa Bay vs. Chisox Over 10 (+111), Houston Astros (-139) and Philadelphia (-129)
Have a great day!
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