Thursday, July 16, 2009

Back to business.

So, we finished 3-1 on Sunday and could have been 4-0 if Atlanta didn't blow a 7-3 lead. We finished the week at 6-3-2.


First, the play I like most today is over 8.5 in the Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals game. Harden has been pathetic in June (14.14 ERA, .441 baa) and struggles on the road in any event. Lannan's July numbers are only slightly better (5.54 ERA, .377 baa). I know the Cubs are lousy against lefties, but they'll get theirs tonight and Washington is usually good for several runs as well.

Secondly, I like the Cincinnati Reds -110 vs the Milwaukee Brewers. Bailey has been great since his return to the majors, while Looper struggles on the road (6.06 ERA and .309 baa), struggles in July (5.25 ERA) and stinks at Great American this year (13.50 ERA and .471 baa).

Last but not least, I like the Los Angeles Angels +118 vs the Oakland A's. On the surface a pitching mismatch in favor of the A's, but anytime I can get a team like the Angels (batting .365 over the past 7 days) at plus odds, I'm gonna take it. Plus, Santana is 9-1 in his career against the A's (6-1 over the past 3 years).

Thursday's plays are the Cubs/Nationals over 8.5 (-120), the Reds -110 and the Angels +118.

More picks available at http://www.youcapper.com/user/Profit.htm


No comments:

Post a Comment