First I like the Minnesota Twins with Perkins (-106) versus the Oakland A's. Perkins has mediocre numbers for sure, but compared to Cahill, his numbers are far better. In July, Cahill has allowed 16 hits and 11 walks (with only 4 strikeouts) in 13.2 innings, for an ERA of 7.90 and a .291 batting average against. He walks a ton of guys (7th in the AL). Again, Perkins' numbers have been weak, but the A's are horrible against lefties, batting an AL-worst .229.
Second, I like the Boston Red Sox with Buchholz at -122 versus the Texas Rangers. Buchholz won his first outing last week. At Pawtucket he was a monster this year, going 7-2 with a 2.36 ERA and a .188 batting average against. Padilla has a 6.00 ERA and a .338 batting average against at home. In July his ERA is only 4.15, but his batting average against is .358. Check out the career numbers against him: Kotsay .385; Drew .368; Ortiz .333; Youkilis .417; and Green .429.
Third, still want to ride the Phillies streak (now at 10). They are paying +106 at home against Zambrano, should be a close game, but the odds make this a value play.
Also adding the Los Angeles Angels (-120)are 8-2 in the last 10, have won 4 in a row and face a KC team that is now 1-9 in their last 10.
Today's plays are Phillies (+106), Angels (-120), RedSox (-122), Twins (-106).
Have a great day!
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