Tuesday Baseball Pick!

Today, I like the Over 9.5 in the Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers game.

The Nationalss start lefty John Lannan. The Tigers bat a decent .265 against lefties, and they are batting .275 over the past 7 days. Lannan is 2-3 on the year with a 5.00 ERA and a .305 BAA. In his last 3 starts, he allowed 30 men on base in 18 innings. For the month of June his ERA is 4.91 and his BAA is .346. This month he has allowed 18 hits in 11 innings, with 5 walks and only 4 strikeouts. On the road this year his ERA is 4.73 and his BAA is .288.

Meanwhile, the Tigers start Max Scherzer. On the year he is 2-6 with a 6.30 ERA and a .306 BAA. For the month of June he is 0-2 with an ERA of 5.84 and a .326 BAA. At home this year (and for his entire career at Comerica) he is 1-2 with a 6.52 ERA and a .338 BAA. At night this year he is a miserable 0-3 with an 8.71 ERA and a BAA of .320. For his career against the Nats his ERA is 5.87. This one's going over.

Good Luck!

Saturday Bases

Record is now 11-11 (-161)

Saturday's play is over 9.5 (-105) in the Florida Marlins vs Washington Nationals game.

The Nationals start Craig Stammen. He is 1-0 with a 6.75 ERA and a .318 BAA. Last year against the Marlins he had an ERA of 10.29 and a BAA of .433. At Dolphin Stadium his ERA was 5.06 and his BAA was .333. In his one road game this year he was shelled. 7 hits in 1.1 innings, leading to a road ERA of 47.25 and a .700 BAA.

The question is will the Nats get to Volstad. On the year he is 1-2 with a 5.79 ERA and a .239 BAA. Volstad has faced the Nats for 16.2 innings, in those 16.2 innings, he allowed 22 hits and 16 walks, leading to a 6.48 ERA and a BAA of .319. It's not like Volstad is pitching all that well right now anyway. In his last 2 starts, he went 10.1 innings, allowing 12 hits, with 4 walks and only 2 strikeouts.

The Marlins are 8-3 to the over this year and 12-4 to the over against righties.

Good Luck!

Thursday MLB Total

Record 4-6 (-333)

Can't catch a break of late, as the St. Louis Cards only beat Houston by 1 last night. Today we see value in the Over 9½ -120 for the game between the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies this afternoon.

Good Luck

Saturday Early Game Total!

Record 4-1 (+257)

Going right back to the well today, as I was very surprised to see this total set at only 8.5.

The Nationals have given up 32 runs in 4 games, meaning an average on 8 per game. The Nationals will hand the ball to John Lannan (0-1, 12.27 ERA), who looks to bounce back after lasting only 3 2/3 innings against the Phillies on Monday. Lannan gave up five runs and seven hits in the 11-1 loss, with eight of the 10 batters he faced in the fourth inning reaching base.

The left-hander is 3-4 with a 3.62 ERA in 10 career starts against the Mets, including 0-3 with a 6.00 ERA in five starts in New York.

For the Mets, Oliver Perez went 0-1 in five spring training starts and one relief appearance, posting an 8.68 ERA while walking 10 in 18 2/3 innings.
He lost both outings to the Nationals last season, giving up 11 runs and walking nine in 10 1/3 innings. Overall, he is 3-5 with a 7.14 ERA against them.

How can this game not go Over 8.5 (-120) this afternoon?

Good Luck All!

Friday MLB Pick

Record 3-1 (+157)

Today I like the match-up between the Washington Nationals and New York Mets.

Mike Pelfrey didn't provide much confidence during six starts in spring training, going 0-4 with a 6.15 ERA while getting dropped to fourth in the rotation. Pelfrey, though, is 3-5 with a 3.93 ERA in 12 starts against Washington (1-2), including an 0-2 mark and a 4.29 ERA in the last three.

The Nats will give the ball to Mock, who went 3-10 with a 5.62 ERA in 28 games , 15 starts last season.The right-hander didn't fare much better in five starts during spring training, going 0-4 with a 5.79 ERA.

Taking Washington-NY Mets Over 9 (-105)

Good Luck!

Now 3-0 for the season.

After pounding out 13 hits in an 11-1 season-opening victory Monday, Philadelphia tagged Nationals pitchers for 11 more hits in Wednesday's 8-4 win.

The Phillies are 2-0 for the first time in seven seasons and have won 14 of 15 against Washington. Phillies will sweep this afternoon, paying (-143).

Hump-day Baseball Pick

Now 2-0 in MLB regular season picks. Here's a good Wednesday night play, taking the Philadelphia Phillies (-160).

Hamels is making his 2010 debut in a favorable place. He allowed one run in his last 26 innings at Washington and went 5-1 with a 1.34 ERA in his last nine starts against the Nationals.

Good Luck!