Sunday Gravy Play

Now 9-9 (-102) on the season.

Tonight, I like the Mets to continue their winning ways (+105).

New York's pitchers have allowed two or fewer runs five times in the Mets' last six games. The club has a 2.09 ERA over its last eight contests.

In their last 4 games, the Braves (8-9) have totaled six runs, batting .209 overall and .129 with men in scoring position.

I like New York to sweep the series tonight.

Good Luck!

Saturday Early Game Total!

Record 4-1 (+257)

Going right back to the well today, as I was very surprised to see this total set at only 8.5.

The Nationals have given up 32 runs in 4 games, meaning an average on 8 per game. The Nationals will hand the ball to John Lannan (0-1, 12.27 ERA), who looks to bounce back after lasting only 3 2/3 innings against the Phillies on Monday. Lannan gave up five runs and seven hits in the 11-1 loss, with eight of the 10 batters he faced in the fourth inning reaching base.

The left-hander is 3-4 with a 3.62 ERA in 10 career starts against the Mets, including 0-3 with a 6.00 ERA in five starts in New York.

For the Mets, Oliver Perez went 0-1 in five spring training starts and one relief appearance, posting an 8.68 ERA while walking 10 in 18 2/3 innings.
He lost both outings to the Nationals last season, giving up 11 runs and walking nine in 10 1/3 innings. Overall, he is 3-5 with a 7.14 ERA against them.

How can this game not go Over 8.5 (-120) this afternoon?

Good Luck All!

Friday MLB Pick

Record 3-1 (+157)

Today I like the match-up between the Washington Nationals and New York Mets.

Mike Pelfrey didn't provide much confidence during six starts in spring training, going 0-4 with a 6.15 ERA while getting dropped to fourth in the rotation. Pelfrey, though, is 3-5 with a 3.93 ERA in 12 starts against Washington (1-2), including an 0-2 mark and a 4.29 ERA in the last three.

The Nats will give the ball to Mock, who went 3-10 with a 5.62 ERA in 28 games , 15 starts last season.The right-hander didn't fare much better in five starts during spring training, going 0-4 with a 5.79 ERA.

Taking Washington-NY Mets Over 9 (-105)

Good Luck!

Saturday afternoon value play.

Should the Chicago Cubs be favored against anyone when they're on the road? They are 18-46 on the road for a .281 winning percentage.

Figueroa held them to 1 run over 6 innings just last week and Mets are getting clutch hits right now and Cubs are not.

Good home value on the Mets who have won 2/3 of their home games, and are paying +158 today!

TGIF Total Play

We went 1-1 yesterday and that puts us at 3-4 for the week. We have a juicy total play providing that the weather co-operates.

Rain may be a problem in New York tonight, but I am playing the over 9 runs in the Arizzona Diamondbacks - New York Mets game.

Doug Davis is 5-10 with a 3.76 ERA and a .267 batting average against. However, his WHIP is 1.49. That's because he is 3rd in the NL in walks. On the road this year his ERA is 4.44 and his batting average against is .277. For July he has bit it big time. 5.61 ERA, a .324 batting average against and a 2.013 WHIP.

As for Livan Hernandez, he is 7-5 with a 4.87 ERA, but a WHIP of 1.53 and a batting average against of .305. At home this year his batting average against is .308. For the month of July, his ERA is 8.57, his WHIP is 2.142 and his batting average against is .382.

The Mets are 2nd in the NL in team batting for the past 7 days, batting an awesome .309 while Arizona is not far behind at .291.

Weather may be an issue but I like the over 9 here at (-105).