Sunday Gravy Plays for August 9th

Now 9-6 for the month of August.

Today's pick is the Florida Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Under 9.5 (-117).
Listed Pitchers are Josh Johnson and Jamie Moyer. These two pitchers have faced this opposition once this year with very good results. Johnson went 7 innings and didn't allow a run and gave up only 3 hits. Moyer in his last start vs Florida went 7 innings and allowed only 1 hit in a 4-0 win. Moyer enjoys pitching vs Florida where he has a 13-2 record lifetime and 2.83 ERA. He will come out hard today to show that he deserves to stay in this crowded rotation that Philadelphia seems to have now, while Johnson will come out equally hard after giving up 4 runs for the first time this year in any of his starts. The guy has been masterful all year and is facing a Philly team that is struggling with only 3 wins in their last 10 and batting .217 vs righthanded pitching in their last 10 games.

Also adding New York Yankees (-109)

Sunday Gravy Plays!

I went 3-1 yesterday, lets try to finish the week with another strong day.

First, I like the over 9 (-110) runs in the Houston Astros vs New York Mets game. The Mets start Livan Hernandez. For the year his ERA is 4.93 and a .305 batting average against. On the road his ERA is 5.04. In July his ERA is 10.93 and his batting average against is .413 In 14 innings this month he has allowed 26 hits and 10 walks with only 7 strikeouts. In the last 3 years, his ERA against Houston is 7.11 and his batting average against is .391. At Minute Maid over the past 3 years his ERA is 10.80 and his batting average against is .451.

The Astros start Brian Moehler. His ERA on the year is 4.92, and a .288 batting average against. At home his ERA is 5.09 and his batting average against is .309. Over the past 3 years he is 0-3 against the Mets with a 6.40 ERA and a .302 batting average against. He has good numbers for July (3-1 with a 2.16 ERA and a .215 baa) but look who he played against, the bottom feeders of the NL.


My second play is the Philadelphia Phillies -150 vs the St Louis Cardinals.

Joe Blanton goes for the Phils. He is 6-4 with a 4.24 ERA and a .265 batting average against. He is 1-0 against the Cards this year with a 1.50 ERA and a .174 batting average against. He is 2-0 for the month, with a 0.83 ERA and a .176 batting average against. In 21.2 innings this month, he allowed only 13 hits and 4 walks, with 16 strikeouts.

The Cardinals go with Todd Wellemeyer. For the year he is 7-8 with a 5.68 ERA and a .320 batting average against. On the road his ERA is 6.14 and his batting average against is .350. In July he is 1-1 with an ERA of 5.63 and a batting average against of .338. Over the past 3 years he is 0-1 against the Phils with a 7.30 ERA.

Also adding Tampa Bay (-107), Los Angeles Angels (-145) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (-133).

Have a great Day!

TGIF plays

The Philadelphia Phillies start lefty J.A. Happ. As you know, the Cards suck against left handed pitching, batting an NL-worst .223 against them. Happ is 7-0 on the year with a 2.68 ERA (6th in the NL) and a .222 batting average against. His ERA in his last 3 starts is 1.71. For the month of July (last 4 starts), he is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA and a .214 batting average against. For his career against the Cards his ERA is 2.84 and his batting average against is .217 and the Cardinals are batting a weak .245 over the past 7 days.

The Cardinals start Joel Pineiro. His record is only 8-9, but he has an ERA of 3.09 and a 1.09 WHIP (5th in the NL). As good as Happ has been in July, Pineiro has been better. In July he is 2-0 with a 1.57 ERA and a .195 batting average against. In 23 innings this month, he has allowed only 16 hits and no walks! Over the past 3 years he is 1-0 against the Phils with a 0.00 ERA and a .227 batting average against. For his entire career against the Phillies, his ERA is 2.33 and his WHIP is 1.242.

Today's plays are STL-PHI Under 9 (-103) and adding the surging Angels (-149).
More plays at http://www.youcapper.com/user/Profit.htm

Bounce Back Tuesday

Went 1-2 yesterday with 1 rainout. We bounce back today with the following.

First, I like the over 10 runs in the Rays/White Sox. Here's why:

Both teams are hitting very well right now. The Rays are batting .306 over the past 7 days (2nd in the AL), while the Sox are 3rd in the AL at .289. Guess which team has scored the most runs in the AL this year against lefties. If you said the Rays you would be right (164). Conveniently, the White Sox are starting a lefty tonight. Clayton Richard is 3-3 on the year but with a 5.42 ERA, a .296 batting average against. At home this year his ERA is 6.83 and his batting average against is .307. For the month of July, he has an ERA of 19.29, and a batting average against of .500

Meanwhile the Rays go with Jeff Niemann. He is 8-4 with a 3.73 ERA and a .261 batting average against. In July his ERA is only 2.25 but his batting average against is .271. On the road this year his ERA is 4.08. He is 0-1 against the Sox this year with a .346 batting average against. For his career he is 0-2 against the Sox with a 6.75 ERA


Second, I like the Astros -139 to beat the Cardinals. The Astros start lefty Wandy Rodriguez. The Cards are horrible against lefties, batting only .226 against them. Wandy is 9-6 on the year with a 2.81 ERA (7th in the NL)and a .249 batting average against. He is 8th in the NL in strikeouts with 112. At home this year he is 4-2 with a 2.21 ERA and a .222 batting average against. This month he is 3-0 with a 0.41 ERA and a .218 batting average against.

The Cardinals go with Todd Wellemeyer. He is 7-7 on the year with a 5.56 ERA and a .319 batting average against. He is 10th in the NL in walks with 47. For the month of July he is 1-0 with a 4.63 ERA and his batting average against is .333. On the road this year his ERA is 5.90 and his batting average against is .350.

Third, I'll keep riding the Phillies train, as they are 9-1 in their last 10. To get them at (-129) is a value play right now.

Today's 3 plays are Tampa Bay vs. Chisox Over 10 (+111), Houston Astros (-139) and Philadelphia (-129)

Have a great day!