The Rays start James Shields. He is 6-7 on the year with a 4.55 ERA and a .279 BAA. On the road he is 5-3 with a 3.49 ERA, but a BAA of .286. For the month of June he is 1-4 with a 7.40 ERA and a .300 BAA. Against Boston this year he is 1-1 with a 3.68 ERA. He is 1-0 at Fenway this year, but with a 5.40 ERA and a .310 BAA. From 2007-2009 he was 3-6 against the Sox with a 5.17 ERA. But before he won at Fenway this year, for his career at Fenway he was 0-6 with an 8.04 ERA and a .344 BAA. In fact, including this year, Shields has pitched 34.2 innings at Fenway Park. In those 34.2 innings, he has allowed 63 men to reach base. The Sox, who bat .280 against righties and who bat .289 at home, will get some offense tonight.
Meanwhile, the Red Sox go with John Lackey. On the year he is 8-3 with a 4.69 ERA. However, his WHIP is 1.57 and his BAA is .298. In his last 2 starts he allowed 20 men on base in 12.2 innings. For the month of June he is 3-0 with a 4.41 ERA, but with a .316 BAA. At home this year he is 6-1, but again with a 5.03 ERA and a .299 BAA. For his career against the Rays he is 10-3, but this year he is 1-1 against them with an ERA of 9.31 and a BAA of .395. In 9.2 innings pitched against the Rays this year, he has allowed 22 men to reach base.
Liking the Over tonight.
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