Wednesday Baseball Play!

I like the over 9 (-110) runs in the Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins game.

The Tigers start rookie lefty Andrew Oliver. This will be only his second major league start. He took the loss in his debut against the Braves 5 days ago, so he is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA. But before that he was in Double AA Erie, where he wasn't all that special. There he was 6-4 with a 3.61 ERA and a .253 BAA. The Twins are batting a decent .274 over the past 7 days and they bat a respectable .268 against lefties.

Meanwhile, the Twins start Kevin Slowey. He is 7-5 on the year but with a 4.79 ERA and a .297 BAA. At home he is 4-3 with a 3.80 ERA. Over his last 3 starts he has been getting slammed. For his last 3, he has lasted only 12.1 innings, allowing 22 hits, 5 walks and 17 earned runs, for an ERA of 12.75. For the entire month of June he is 1-2 with a 6.15 ERA and a .297 BAA. In day games this year he is 1-3 with a 7.71 ERA and a BAA of .350. Against the Tigers this year he is 1-0 with a 4.76 ERA and a .304 BAA. Including this year, he is 4-0 for his career against the Tigers. But, his career ERA against the Tigers is 5.93. In 30.1 career innings against the Tigers, he has allowed 52 men to reach base. Several of the Tigers, including Cabrera, Damon, Guillen and Santiago have all had tremendous success against Slowey in their careers.

Good Luck!

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Tuesday Baseball Pick!

For Tuesday, I like the over 9.5 (+100)in the Tampa Rays vs Boston Red Sox game.

The Rays start James Shields. He is 6-7 on the year with a 4.55 ERA and a .279 BAA. On the road he is 5-3 with a 3.49 ERA, but a BAA of .286. For the month of June he is 1-4 with a 7.40 ERA and a .300 BAA. Against Boston this year he is 1-1 with a 3.68 ERA. He is 1-0 at Fenway this year, but with a 5.40 ERA and a .310 BAA. From 2007-2009 he was 3-6 against the Sox with a 5.17 ERA. But before he won at Fenway this year, for his career at Fenway he was 0-6 with an 8.04 ERA and a .344 BAA. In fact, including this year, Shields has pitched 34.2 innings at Fenway Park. In those 34.2 innings, he has allowed 63 men to reach base. The Sox, who bat .280 against righties and who bat .289 at home, will get some offense tonight.

Meanwhile, the Red Sox go with John Lackey. On the year he is 8-3 with a 4.69 ERA. However, his WHIP is 1.57 and his BAA is .298. In his last 2 starts he allowed 20 men on base in 12.2 innings. For the month of June he is 3-0 with a 4.41 ERA, but with a .316 BAA. At home this year he is 6-1, but again with a 5.03 ERA and a .299 BAA. For his career against the Rays he is 10-3, but this year he is 1-1 against them with an ERA of 9.31 and a BAA of .395. In 9.2 innings pitched against the Rays this year, he has allowed 22 men to reach base.

Liking the Over tonight.

Monday evening Baseball Pick June 28th

For Monday, I like the over 9.5 (-105)in the Phillies vs Reds game.

The Phillies start right hander Kyle Kendrick. The Reds bat an NL-best .274 against right handed pitching. Kendrick is 4-2 with a 4.71 ERA and a .270 BAA. Kendrick is 3-0 for his career against the Reds, but that is with a 6.61 ERA and a .297 BAA. In his one career start at Great American he got the win, but with a 7.20 ERA and a .381 BAA. The Reds, who bat an NL-best .287 at home, will get to Kendrick tonight.

Meanwhile, the Reds start Johnny Cueto. He is 7-2 on the year with a 3.97 ERA and a .256 BAA. At home this year he is 3-1 but with a 4.19 ERA and a .265 BAA. For the month of June he is 2-1 but with a 5.46 ERA and a .303 BAA. For his career against the Phillies he is 0-2 with a ERA of 15.26 and a .353 BAA. Over the past 7 days the Phils are batting a very nice .289. After they get to Cueto, we'll see the Reds bullpen with its 4.98 ERA.

The Reds are 24-14 to the over at home this year, while the Phils have gone over the total in 4 of their last 5.

Good Luck!

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