Saturday, November 28, 2009

Sunday Gravy Plays November 29th

Arizona Cardinals/Tennessee Titans OVER 45 -110.
Arizona's pass attack, now enhanced by a resurgent running game, should wreak havoc on a Titan's secondary that isn't an intimidating lot. Add in the fact that Arizona throws a lot of slants and quick releases, and this should nullify the Titan's pass rush. The only caveat here, and we are gambling, is that QB Kurt Warner is slated to play but if he gets knocked out of the game, we're in trouble. However, Tennessee rushing star Chris Johnson should also have a huge day and the focus on him should allow QB young to move out of the pocket and make some plays with his legs and arm against a defense that is not a staunch one. Both offenses have averaged 31 points per game their last 3, and with strengths against each teams defensive weakness, this trend should continue of offense being the key for both teams. Last one to score wins in a shootout.

Also adding...
Indianapolis -3 (-110)
Philadelphia -9 (-110)
San Francisco -3 (-110)
New Orleans -1.5 (-110)

Boca Java has the perfect gift for the special someone.  Search for Gifts!

Thursday, November 26, 2009

Thanksgiving Pick!

Today's pick is the Over 41.5 in the NY Giants vs Denver Bronco game.

Have a great Thanksgiving! Back on the weekend with more plays.

Jelly Belly Jelly Beans

Saturday, November 21, 2009

Saturday & Sunday Gravy Plays November 21st & 22nd

Philadelphia Eagles -3 -105 at Chicago Bears.The Eagles are taking a step down in class here after 3 weeks rough-housing with the Giants, Cowboys and Chargers, and the talent level difference will show here, as well as the motivation. Philly knows they have to be better to keep up with the Jones' so to speak and they will be in this spot versus an opponent who makes as many mistakes, if not more, as they do good plays. Cutler vs the Eagles secondary isn't a good match up, and the Eagles blitzing will cause havoc. In giving only 3 here, we're on the Eagles to step up big here.

Also adding
Montreal Canadiens (Saturday) +115
Washington Capitals(Saturday)-130
Nashville Predators (Saturday) -135
NY Giants -6.5 (-110)
Dallas Cowboys -11 (-110)
Dallas-Washington Over 41.5 (-110)
NY Jets-New England Over 45 (-110)

Davids Coookies Thanksgiving 2009

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Sunday Gravy Plays November 15th

The Denver Broncos (6-2) after a very nice start winning their first 6 games, have conceded 2 losses against Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers, while the Washington Redskins (2-6) are in a deep crisis after 5 straight losses, which makes this game a very important one for both teams, but mainly for the Broncos who have the San Diego Chargers right behind them on the division standings.

QB Kyle Orton started the season with very good performances, but when he faced two teams that really know how to pressure the opponents' quarterback, he started to shake and wasn't unable to develop is usual game. Good news is that the Washington Redskins aren't quite the Ravens or the Steelers regarding defensive pressure and I think that we will see Kyle Orton going back to his old form in the early season.

Denver offense is quite good on the passing game and there is a simple reason for that: Broncos have two great quality players in the wide receivers positions, which are WR Jabar Gaffney and WR Brandon Marshall. Having these two great targets is very good because there are a lot of times that Orton doesn't throw correctly the ball but those two guys are always able to catch the ball and win good yards for their team.

Broncos' rushing game counts with the rookie RB Knowshon Moreno who's doing a great first season (3.7 YPC) and RB Correll Buckhalter (5.5 YPC). The ground offense is not the stronger suit of the Denver offense and that is why the team relies a lot more on the passing game than usual, which is understandable. Besides, they also have TE Daniel Graham who from time to time is a good option to pass the ball.

Denver defense is also very good, mainly against the opponents' passing game, the team is able to do a good coverage and is also capable to pressure the opponents' quarterbacks, causing several sacks. Stopping the running game is another matter, they had struggled a bit on their last games, but even on this subject luck seems to be on the Broncos side, because RB Clinton Portis will not play and an easier task is expected when having to face RB Ladell Betts. I expect the Redskins to choose to play much more by the air than using their ground offense and it is against the passing game that the Broncos D will make the difference.

Washington QB Jason Campbell has intermittent performances, he is able to mix a series of good calls with a series of bad calls and because of that he has almost the same number of interceptions (8) than touchdowns passes (9). It is also true that is has limited options on his offense to play with, because without WR Santana Moss, the team doesn't have anyone else with enough quality to pass the ball. WR Chris Cooley and TE Fred Davis surely aren't the best options to play with against an excellent Broncos' passing defense.

Without Clinton Portis, the Skins ground offense will have to rely on RB Ladell Betts and he is an unknown factor for this Washington rushing offense. For what I know, Ladell Betts is not a great rusher, but he belongs to that kind of rushers who make catches and with this option, I see two problems for the Redskins: if they don't go with the rush, the Broncos D will punish Jason Campbell very hard and get some sacks, if they use him a lot more on this game, then there are some good chances for the Denver defense to escape from big troubles, because defending against the rush is the weak spot of the Broncos D.

The Skins D is average against the opponents' rushing game, but when the matter at hand is the passing game, they really show great difficulties to stop it, which can be lethal against the Broncos O, because we know that Denver offense doesn't use much the running game, they will prefer to keep attacking the Redskins secondary and with the two wide receivers the Broncos have, I can't blame them, I see a lot of troubles for this Washington defense to stop them.

Denver has the best team and the greater motivation to win this game, they need to keep a safe distance from the San Diego Chargers on the league standings, while the Redskins apparently have already quit on themselves like everyone else in Washington, and with the Broncos offensive quality already displayed this season, against an offense that in the entire season wasn't capable to produce anything outstanding, take Denver -3.5 (-110)

Adding
New England +3 (-120)
New England - Indianapolis Over 48 (-110)
New Orleans -13.5 (-115)

Dark Chocolate and More Chocolate Gifts at Chocolate.com

Saturday, November 7, 2009

Sunday Gravy Plays November 8th

Take the San Diego Chargers vs. New York Giants OVER 47 -105. This game's headline in the aftermath could easily read, Giants run all day, while Chargers pass all day. San Diego can't stop the run it's that simple. The Giants secondary has been exposed badly of late, albeit vs quality QBs, but Philip Rivers also falls into that category. Giants defense has beaten down on less than average opponents, but when it plays against talented opposition, they have proven extremely vulnerable. San Diego's defense has allowed yardage and points virtually every game and are nowhere near what you'd call a daunting unit by any means. Both teams have solid passing games, the Giants running the ball should open up their passing game and allow Manning and his bevy of receivers to make some plays as well. Rivers will dice up a Giants secondary and possibly some dump offs to the backs will prove big yard gainers as the Giants D line over commits. Turnovers should come into play as well, along with some big plays getting yardage and points quickly. Both teams into the mid-20s is very doable and we like the OVER 47 here.

Take the Philadelphia Eagles - 3 +107 vs. Dallas Cowboys. Tony Romo and his teammates have had their asses handed to them their last couple of visits to the city of Brotherly Love. It could easily happen again as Dallas hasn't really had any quality wins, other than one over Atlanta and comes into a place where Philly is feeling it right now. They stepped up against the Giants. Philly has 14 INTs this year and 23 sacks. Is a blitzing, pressuring, speedy unit that know how to get to Romo and have done it before and I expect more of the same come Sunday. McNabb has Jackson and Maclin and Celek, more quality receiving than he's had in years. They feast on an average Cowboys' secondary and the Eagles D simply steps up again and makes huge plays that turn this game into Philly's favor in a big way.

Also adding
Pit-Den Over 39.5 (Monday)(-110)
Montreal Canadiens (Saturday)(-145)

Davids Coookies Thanksgiving 2009